Найдено научных статей и публикаций: 1, для научной тематики: Juglar cycles
1.
Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, Sergey Malkov
- History & Mathematics: Processes and Models of Global Dynamics , 2010
The article presents a verbal and mathematical model of medium-term business cycles
(with a characteristic period of 7–11 years) known as Juglar cycles. The model takes
into account a number of approaches to the analysis of such cycles; in the meantime it
also takes into account some of the autho...
The article presents a verbal and mathematical model of medium-term business cycles
(with a characteristic period of 7–11 years) known as Juglar cycles. The model takes
into account a number of approaches to the analysis of such cycles; in the meantime it
also takes into account some of the authors' own generalizations and additions that are
important for understanding the internal logic of the cycle, its variability and its peculiarities
in the present-time conditions. The authors argue that the most important cause of
cyclical crises stems from strong structural disproportions that develop during economic
booms. These are not only disproportions between different economic sectors, but also
disproportions between different societal subsystems; at present these are also disproportions
within the World System as a whole.
History & Mathematics: Processes and Models of Global Dynamics / Edited
by Leonid Grinin, Peter Herrmann, Andrey Korotayev, and Arno Tausch. – Volgograd:
‘Uchitel’ Publishing House, 2010. Pp. 138–187.